Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh?
Corporate ActionsCustomWeatherChina2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMay 4, 26, 8:35 PM UTCMay 31, 29, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if the OMIE (Iberian wholesale market) Spain day-ahead time-weighted annual average for calendar year 2028 exceeds €65/MWh, as reported by OMIE in its annual market summary and on the OMIE day-ahead price dashboard.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2029 — about five months after year-end, allowing OMIE and Red Eléctrica time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 60% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh? resolve?
- Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh? is scheduled to resolve on May 31, 2029.
- How is Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the OMIE (Iberian wholesale market) Spain day-ahead time-weighted annual average for calendar year 2028 exceeds €65/MWh, as reported by OMIE in its annual market summary and on the OMIE day-ahead price dashboard.