What are the current odds for Will Nayib Bukele be in prison, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030?

Manifold Markets prices No at 78% as of October 21, 2026.

Will Nayib Bukele be in prison, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 78%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 35 minutes ago

Sep 7, 23, 6:03 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.