Current community forecast
No 58%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleFeb 25, 23, 9:55 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 9:54 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Will Nayib Bukele's, President of El Salvador, Anti-Gang strategy been seen as a positive model (in reducing homicide and crime rate) in 2030?
- Background: (Feb 2023) Nayib Bukele has initiated aggressive policies punishing gang members.
- The homicide rate has drastically fallen in his first years of tenure, with 50% and 58% reduction year over year.
- At the same time, his tenure has been criticised as an example of democratic backsliding by the US government, and been reported to have made deals with the largest gang in El Salvador (MS13).
- Resolution: This resolves subjectively to my own judgment, but I would ideally love to defer to experts who seem level headed and reliable.
- Some reasons I could imagine this resolving positive:
