What are the current odds for Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos??

Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 8, 2026.

When does Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos? resolve?

Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.

Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos?

One-OffAI Tech1y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 88.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Stale

Apr 11, 26, 11:35 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 2:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

Primary source: https://www.businessinsider.com/anthropic-mythos-latest-ai-model-too-powerful-to-be-released-2026-4?utm_source=chatgpt.com

Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if:
Anthropic releases a model explicitly named "Claude Mythos" (or simply "Mythos") to the public.
Version numbers do not matter.
(So "Claude Mythos 5.0" will still count)

Report a data issue with this market

Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos?

One-OffAI Tech1y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 88.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Stale

Apr 11, 26, 11:35 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 2:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will a non-Anthropic company make a Mythos-class model generally available worldwide in 2026?

Manifold Markets

Will any frontier-class model training run be announced with >$1B total compute cost before 2026-12-31?

Manifold Markets

Will OpenAI release a model called GPT-5o in 2026?

Manifold Markets

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Kalshi

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Polymarket

Gemini 4.0 released by which date?

Polymarket

Rules

Primary source: https://www.businessinsider.com/anthropic-mythos-latest-ai-model-too-powerful-to-be-released-2026-4?utm_source=chatgpt.com

Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if:
Anthropic releases a model explicitly named "Claude Mythos" (or simply "Mythos") to the public.
Version numbers do not matter.
(So "Claude Mythos 5.0" will still count)

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos??: Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos? resolve?: Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
How is Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Primary source: https://www.businessinsider.com/anthropic-mythos-latest-ai-model-too-powerful-to-be-released-2026-4?utm_source=chatgpt.com

Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos?

Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos?

Frequently asked questions

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