Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.5%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJun 21, 25, 4:44 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2030
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KalshiRules
[tweet]I am a type 1 diabetic in Canada.
- I don’t know if I produce any insulin but if I do it’s not much.
- I became diabetic 6 years ago at 17.
- The resolution criteria for this market is not too strict; if i need to inject insulin every few days, or something, that’s ok.
- If for the typical meal I can just eat it and not inject insulin and not go in hyperglycemia, that would probably me sufficient for this market.
- A requirement is that if I am ‘cured’ of type 1 diabetes, I would need to have to spend less than half the time on diabetes related tasks in a typical week.
Open markets
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $20.3K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $4.7K
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3K
- 24h Vol
- $3K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt98%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Total Vol
- $712.2K
- 24h Vol
- $1.4K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 92% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2027? resolve?
- Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: [tweet]I am a type 1 diabetic in Canada.