What are the current odds for Will MoMA acquire a major generative AI artwork before 2027??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 83% as of October 24, 2026.

Will MoMA acquire a major generative AI artwork before 2027?

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Current community forecast

Yes 83%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Stale

Feb 16, 26, 11:59 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

MoMA's permanent collection contains zero works created primarily by generative AI systems (Midjourney, DALL-E, Stable Diffusion, etc).

This market resolves YES if MoMA officially announces acquiring a work where AI generation is the primary creative medium before Jan 1, 2027.
- Must be permanent collection acquisition (not temporary exhibition)
- "Major" = Work by recognized digital artist OR acquisition price >$50k OR featured in MoMA press release
- AI-assisted works (human+AI collaboration) count if AI is credited as primary medium
- Works using AI for post-processing only = NO