Will Julia Galef (Rationally Speaking podcast, Center for Applied Rationality) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Julia Galef (Rationally Speaking podcast, Center for Applied Rationality) be charged with any felony crime before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 98.5% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Will Julia Galef (Rationally Speaking podcast, Center for Applied Rationality) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? resolve?

Will Julia Galef (Rationally Speaking podcast, Center for Applied Rationality) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.

How is Will Julia Galef (Rationally Speaking podcast, Center for Applied Rationality) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Julia Galef (Rationally Speaking podcast, Center for Applied Rationality) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

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KALSHI

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

• Ilhan Omar+3.0pt46.5%
• John Brennan+3.0pt23%
• Corey Lewandowski16%

+42 more outcomes

Total Vol

$2.2M

24h Vol

$28.9K

POLYMARKET

Trump out as President before 2027?

• No+0.1pt96%
• Yes-0.1pt4%

Total Vol

$13.4M

24h Vol

$19K

POLYMARKET

Ilhan Omar arrested by which date?

• December 31+2.0pt28%
• October 31-0.3pt1%

Total Vol

$79.4K

24h Vol

$8.2K

POLYMARKET

Who will be arrested before 2027?

• John Brennan-1.5pt32%
• Mahmoud Khalil20%
• James Comey-2.3pt9%

+21 more outcomes

KALSHI

Who will be arrested in 2026?

• Ilhan Omar+4.0pt33%
• John Brennan-3.0pt31.5%
• Mahmoud Khalil-1.0pt15.5%

POLYMARKET

Ilhan Omar federally charged by which date?

• December 31-6.5pt37%
• October 31-3.0pt1%

Total Vol

$207.9K

24h Vol

$5.7K

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