Will it become public that Anthropic uses recurrence to scale LLMs by the end of 2026?

KALSHI

OpenAI market share this week

• Above 18.1%+23.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask99%–100%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 07:54 PM UTC
• Above 16.5%Stored bid–ask99%–100%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 07:54 PM UTC
• Above 17.8%+4.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask99%–100%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 07:54 PM UTC

+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$752K

24h Vol

$153.7K

KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 22.9%+8.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask99%–100%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 07:42 PM UTC
• Above 23.4%+6.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask98%–100%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 07:42 PM UTC

POLYMARKET

Gemini 4.0 released by which date?

• November 30+0.1pt98%
• October 31+1.5pt91%
• October 23-1.5pt83%

+14 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.6pt69%
• Anthropic+4.0pt30%
• OpenAI-0.3pt1%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-1.4ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask44.2%–44.3%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 07:42 PM UTC
• Gemini-3.3ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask36.2%–39%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 07:42 PM UTC
• ChatGPT

KALSHI

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

• Zohran Mamdani+1.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask27%–29%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 07:54 PM UTC
• Mark Carney+2.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask16%–18%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 07:54 PM UTC
• Dario Amodei