Will I or my immediate family be the target of an anti-Jewish hate crime before 2027?
GeopoliticsOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.5%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleNov 2, 23, 3:12 AM UTCJan 2, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Includes myself, my sister, and my parents.
- Not any more distant relatives.
- Only counts instances after market creation.
- Must actually be a crime, not mean words.
- Minor crimes do qualify, as long as they're clearly motivated by anti-Jewish sentiment.
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 3177%
- December 31+3.5pt61%
- November 3045%
+20 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31.7M
- 24h Vol
- $413.5K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No86.1%
- Yes13.9%
- Total Vol
- $68.8M
- 24h Vol
- $213.7K
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25+1.1pt99%
- September 30+2.0pt87%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $188K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-3.0pt76.2%
- Yes+3.0pt23.8%
- Total Vol
- $12.8M
- 24h Vol
- $181.5K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31.6M
- 24h Vol
- $150.2K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $42.8M
- 24h Vol
- $105.8K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I or my immediate family be the target of an anti-Jewish hate crime before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94.5% as of September 24, 2026.
- When does Will I or my immediate family be the target of an anti-Jewish hate crime before 2027? resolve?
- Will I or my immediate family be the target of an anti-Jewish hate crime before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.
- How is Will I or my immediate family be the target of an anti-Jewish hate crime before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Includes myself, my sister, and my parents.