Will Harvard outlive the United States?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Harvard outlive the United States??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 51% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will Harvard outlive the United States? resolve?

Will Harvard outlive the United States? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2500.

How is Will Harvard outlive the United States? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the United States of America (founded 1776) ceases to exist before the Harvard University (founded 1636).

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KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.7pt91.3%
• Republican Party-0.6pt8.9%

Total Vol

$79.7M

24h Vol

$3.8M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+4.0pt68.5%
• Ken Paxton-2.0pt31.5%

Total Vol

$49.7M

24h Vol

$3.6M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt28.5%
• Republicans sweep

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+2.0pt93.1%
• Republican Party-2.0pt6.9%

Total Vol

$27M

24h Vol

$2.7M

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase-1.0pt76%
• No change+2.0pt22%
• 50+ bps increase-0.3pt2%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep65.7%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt27.4%
• Republicans Sweep-2.0pt5.9%

+2 more outcomes

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