Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.6%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 8, 22, 10:06 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves Yes if the state known as or formally known as the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolishes its monarchy and becomes a republic before 0:00 1 January 2030.
- Whether other Commonwealth countries continue to have monarchs from the line of Queen Elizabeth II is irrelevant.
- Should any constituent country of the UK leave the union before this point, the question refers only to the rump state rather than to the seceding state.
- The question will resolve ambiguously should the successor state of the current UK become impossible to clearly identify.
- #UK #Politics
