Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 99.7%
Forecasters
29
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Jan 4, 26, 1:23 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
By the end of the year 2027, Apple will acquire Anthropic and Cursor
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketOpen ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027
Manifold MarketsRules
Inspired by @lucas_montano's viral X prediction about Google-Anthropic consolidation.
- RESOLUTION CRITERIA:
- Resolves YES if by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT: Google (Alphabet Inc.) officially announces acquisition of Anthropic (majority stake 51%+ or full buyout), confirmed by official press release, SEC filing, or 3+ tier-1 sources (WSJ, Bloomberg, Reuters, FT).
- Resolves NO if no acquisition by deadline.
- • Google invested $3B+ in Anthropic (Jan 2025)
- • Google signed tens of billions $ deal for 1M TPUs (Oct 2025)
