OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO?
RegulationAIOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & CorporateTech14y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.6%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleNov 22, 25, 12:30 AM UTCDec 31, 40, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
According to reports, OpenAI is now in damage-control mode after having been bested by Google's models on nearly all benchmarks.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if OpenAI either collapses (becomes insolvent or ceases operations) or is acquired by another company before completing an initial public offering.
- Resolution is based on public announcements from OpenAI, acquiring parties, or regulatory filings (SEC filings, bankruptcy court documents).
- The market resolves NO if OpenAI successfully completes an IPO.
- If OpenAI files for IPO but the offering is withdrawn or fails to complete, the market resolves YES.
