Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI??

Manifold Markets prices No at 65.9% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI? resolve?

Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.

How is Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: AGI will be considered achieved when this clock reaches zero: https://manifold.markets/ai (see this market: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708)

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KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in October

• Above 2.7%+14.0pt42.5%
• Above 2.6%-5.0pt46%
• Above 2.8%-4.0pt30%

+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$20.8K

24h Vol

$14.6K

KALSHI

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3

• Above 31.0%86.5%
• Above 31.5%+3.0pt76.5%
• Above 32.0%56%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above 0.0%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above -0.1%-1.0pt99%
• Above 0.1%+2.0pt89.5%

POLYMARKET

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

• 5.0%+1.9pt6%
• 7.0%-0.1pt5%
• 10.0%+0.1pt2%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US economic state at the end of 2026?

• Overheating+11.0pt88.2%
• Soft Landing-8.0pt9.8%
• Slack-0.1pt1%

+1 more outcomes

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No78.5%
• Yes21.5%

Total Vol

$732.3K

24h Vol

$6.1K

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