Current community forecast
No 58.6%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 10:09 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if among frontier AI models released in 2027, a majority used FP8 as their primary pretraining precision.
- Frontier models = flagship from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, Meta AI, xAI, Mistral.
- FP8 means majority of compute in FP8 not BF16/FP16/FP32.
- Mixed precision where FP8 dominates counts.
- Post-training quantization does NOT count.
- Based on official reports or credible reporting.