Will the post-April 2026 frontier models be private models / sold to corps [ThePrimeagen prediction]

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the post-April 2026 frontier models be private models / sold to corps [ThePrimeagen prediction]?

Manifold Markets prices No at 93.4% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will the post-April 2026 frontier models be private models / sold to corps [ThePrimeagen prediction] resolve?

Will the post-April 2026 frontier models be private models / sold to corps [ThePrimeagen prediction] is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will the post-April 2026 frontier models be private models / sold to corps [ThePrimeagen prediction] settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: resolves to whether this tweet is mostly true according to people I know who think seriously about AI, if at all ambiguous

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+10.0pt94%
• December 15,+10.5pt93%
• November 30,+29.0pt89%

+15 more outcomes

Total Vol

$5.9M

24h Vol

$351.2K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+5.0pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• America First+61.0pt99.5%
• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+20.0pt99.5%
• Working Class / Middle Class+34.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt30.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.8pt23.3%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.4pt16.5%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.1pt59.6%
• Gemini+0.1pt30.3%
• ChatGPT-0.6pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-7.0pt49%
• 2026-2.0pt12%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.1M

24h Vol

$71.3K

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