Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 20, 23, 9:39 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWill the FDA approve retatrutide?
KalshiRules
Vaccines approved after this market starts are counted, regardless of when developement or trials started.
- Includes duplicate vaccines for the same disease.
- Excludes emergency use authorization.
