Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 54.8%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 38 minutes ago
Feb 21, 23, 8:20 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurWill the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES if the FDA grants full approval for the commercial sale of any mRNA-based vaccine for the treatment of melanoma in the United States before January 1, 2028.
- This does not include emergency use authorization or other forms of limited authorization.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
