Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76.2%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 19, 24, 2:06 AM UTCJan 1, 36, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Donald Trump be alive through the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be alive through the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be alive through the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2035?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
