Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 78.5%
No 78.5%Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleNov 5, 23, 4:17 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
The Australian philosopher David Chalmers is well-known for his arguments against physicalism, or reductive materialist accounts of consciousness according to which all facts about consciousness fit into a completely physical account of the world.
- His view (at least in his classic, The Conscious Mind) is called 'naturalistic dualism', according to which consciousness, while part of the natural world and so compatible with a scientific worldview, is not reducible to physical properties.
- Resolution criteria
- • If Chalmers explicitly claims he now holds a physicalist view of consciousness, whether in a publication (peer reviewed or not, article, commentary or blog) or in an interview, this market resolves YES.
- • If by 2030 Chalmers has not explicitly so endorsed physicalism, or still explicitly argues for a view that is logically inconsistent with physicalism, it resolves NO.
- I will continue clarifying criteria as questions arise.
