Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 90% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? resolve?

Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2028.

How is Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+12.0pt94%
• December 15,+11.0pt92%
• November 30,+31.0pt90%

+15 more outcomes

Total Vol

$5.9M

24h Vol

$341.5K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+1.0pt55.1%
• Google36.7%
• OpenAI-0.7pt5.1%

+12 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.7pt89.7%
• Anthropic+0.3pt10.3%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+64.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-5.0pt29.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.3pt22.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.8pt17.6%

+7 more outcomes

• Best AI at the end of 2026?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best AI this week
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• In which month will Anthropic IPO?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?