Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90.6%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMar 29, 24, 6:45 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if Texas Central, the State of Texas, or any other organization, begins physical railway construction for any high-speed rail line in the state of Texas by the end of 2029.
- To qualify as high-speed, newly built track must have a maximum planned operating speed of at least 155 mph.
- Alternatively, for construction on existing right-of-way, the track must have a maximum planned operating speed of at least 124 mph.
- This market is only dependent on whether construction physically begins.
- A “groundbreaking ceremony” or similar is sufficient for resolution, otherwise physical evidence of groundwork is required.
- This market is not considering whether any designated segment is completed nor whether passenger service has begun.
