Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.4%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJun 30, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will China ZOC (zirconium oxychloride) price exceed 3500 USD/t on June 30, 2027?
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if China ZOC (zirconium oxychloride) price exceeds 5500 USD/t on June 30, 2027.
- What is being measured: Zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) China domestic spot price (USD/t) on or nearest to June 30, 2027.
- YES if: ZOC China price >= 5500 USD/t on June 30, 2027 NO if: ZOC China price < 5500 USD/t on June 30, 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Asian Metal — zirconium oxychloride China domestic price (asianmetal.com)
- SMM (Shanghai Metals Market) — ZOC spot price (smm.cn)
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $116.3K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $45K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+11.5pt52.4%
- 27°C+1.0pt22.9%
- 25°C-3.0pt16.2%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No72.3%
- Yes27.7%
- Total Vol
- $414.1K
- 24h Vol
- $15.6K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $12.8K
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.4pt98%
- December 31+1.7pt97%
- September 30+0.5pt95%
+3 more outcomes
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- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
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- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will China ZOC (zirconium oxychloride) price exceed 5500 USD/t on June 30, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 56% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will China ZOC (zirconium oxychloride) price exceed 5500 USD/t on June 30, 2027? resolve?
- Will China ZOC (zirconium oxychloride) price exceed 5500 USD/t on June 30, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2027.
- How is Will China ZOC (zirconium oxychloride) price exceed 5500 USD/t on June 30, 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if China ZOC (zirconium oxychloride) price exceeds 5500 USD/t on June 30, 2027.