Will China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2027?
ChinaOne-Off1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 2:15 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
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This market resolves YES if China has active, unresumed MOFCOM export controls (licensing requirements, quotas, or bans) on natural graphite or synthetic graphite anode material (HS 3801.10 synthetic graphite, HS 3801.90 coated spherical graphite) on December 31, 2027.
- MOFCOM export licensing requirements for HS 3801.10 or HS 3801.90 are in active effect on December 31, 2027 (whether reinstated or never fully suspended)
- Any new or expanded graphite export control measures are in force by Dec 31, 2027
- No active export controls on graphite anode material as of December 31, 2027
- Export controls were suspended and not reinstated
- Resolution sources (priority order):
