Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.4%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleApr 15, 24, 3:25 PM UTCDec 31, 49, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will chicken be banned in the united states before 2050?
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Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill marijuana be rescheduled?
KalshiWeed rescheduled by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $289.9K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-11.0pt44%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-13.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before May 1, 2027+5.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-4.0pt47%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.4%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $122.2K
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will chicken be banned in Texas before 2050??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will chicken be banned in Texas before 2050? resolve?
- Will chicken be banned in Texas before 2050? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2049.