Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 69.4%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleOct 29, 25, 11:54 PM UTCJan 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will California authorize at least 150,000 housing units in one year by 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)
Manifold MarketsWill California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
KalshiBozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
KalshiWill New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
As reported by FRED.
- If that data series is no longer available, a best effort will be made to produce comparable numbers and judge accordingly.
- @/EvanDaniel/will-california-authorize-more-hous
- @/EvanDaniel/will-california-authorize-more-hous-SnhQtqQcRI
- Individual year estimates:
- @/EvanDaniel/how-many-housing-units-will-califor-0p0z0cAphZ
Open markets
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $146.1K
- 24h Vol
- $55.1K
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.9K
- 24h Vol
- $20.9K
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $18.6K
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-31.0pt34%
- At least ¥74,000-39.0pt28%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.8K
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $66.1K
- Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will California authorize more housing units in 2028 than 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 69% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will California authorize more housing units in 2028 than 2027? resolve?
- Will California authorize more housing units in 2028 than 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2029.
- How is Will California authorize more housing units in 2028 than 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As reported by FRED.