Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo, not before 2026 midterms 95.9%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
29
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleDec 20, 25, 8:34 AM UTCDec 20, 26, 8:19 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?
KalshiWho will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiHas anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?
Manifold MarketsEpstein files prop bets (ADD YOURS)
Manifold MarketsHas anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?
Manifold MarketsWill there be arrests over the Epstein files in the US?
Manifold MarketsRules
Rep. Thomas Massie has suggested that those involved in the unwarranted redaction of the Epstein Files are guilty of Obstruction of Justice under 18 U.S.C. § 1519.
- On its face, it seems like a strong argument (assuming that in fact not all the redactions fell under the narrow exceptions allowed by the Epstein Files Transparency Act.) The same logic would appear to apply to the failure to release the majority of the files by the legally-mandated deadline.
- But will anyone actually face any official penalty for any of this?
