Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?
AIOne-Off3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 96%
Forecasters
29
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jan 6, 24, 8:21 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will only resolve once the Clay Millennium Prize is officially awarded, which typically carries a two-year waiting period.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-6.0pt63.4%
- 2027-12.5pt29.7%
- 2026-2.5pt6.9%
- Total Vol
- $262.9K
- 24h Vol
- $176.7K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+0.5pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.3pt57.7%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.9%
- Grok-2.4pt5.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt79.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt11.1%
- Gemini2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $405.1K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 96% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030? resolve?
- Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will only resolve once the Clay Millennium Prize is officially awarded, which typically carries a two-year waiting period.