What are the current odds for Will any human-created object reach 1% of light speed before 2033??

Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of September 27, 2026.

Will any human-created object reach 1% of light speed before 2033?

CustomScience Space Tech6y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 88%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 12 hours ago

Stale

Nov 20, 22, 5:20 PM UTCJan 1, 33, 5:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The object in question must have meaningful complexity, it can't be a few atoms bonded together by a human and stuck in a particle accelerator.

Speed calculated relative to Earth, and must be maintained for at least 5 seconds.

Report a data issue with this market

Will any human-created object reach 1% of light speed before 2033?

CustomScience Space Tech6y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 88%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 12 hours ago

Stale

Nov 20, 22, 5:20 PM UTCJan 1, 33, 5:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The object in question must have meaningful complexity, it can't be a few atoms bonded together by a human and stuck in a particle accelerator.

Speed calculated relative to Earth, and must be maintained for at least 5 seconds.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will any human-created object reach 1% of light speed before 2033??: Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of September 27, 2026.
When does Will any human-created object reach 1% of light speed before 2033? resolve?: Will any human-created object reach 1% of light speed before 2033? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2033.
How is Will any human-created object reach 1% of light speed before 2033? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The object in question must have meaningful complexity, it can't be a few atoms bonded together by a human and stuck in a particle accelerator.

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https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/will-any-humancreated-object-reach

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https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp

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Will any human-created object reach 1% of light speed before 2033?

Will any human-created object reach 1% of light speed before 2033?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

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