Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 26, 2026, 8:13 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastYes 74%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 31 days ago
StaleAug 27, 23, 3:51 AMJan 1, 27, 9:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes74%
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