Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
AIOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 55.2%
Forecasters
97
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 29, 23, 9:01 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
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- 24h Vol
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- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 more outcomes
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- Claude+4.4pt62.4%
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- Grok-2.6pt5.9%
+5 more outcomes
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+2 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 55% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.