Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleDec 4, 25, 5:27 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Recently, a Republican senator has introduced a bill aiming to force US citizens to either renounce all other foreign citizenships or renounce their US citizenship.
- Will this bill, or another like it, pass?
- For a “Yes” resolution, this has to be a bill affecting at least a significant portion of dual citizens.
- Something that forces a narrow range of dual citizens to choose, such as a targeted measure preventing dual citizenships from one small country, doesn’t count.
- (But a large country with a lot of dual citizens, like Canada, might.)
- I’m aware these criteria are somewhat subjective and that the details could get hairy, so I won’t be betting in this market myself.
