Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 70.1%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleApr 2, 26, 8:49 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 9:49 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will someone reach 1B mana profit on Manifold before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill AI find vulnerabilities that couldn't have been found by an elite human researcher?
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Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if someone with an infinite mana exploit says most of the work finding it was done by AI
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will AI find an infinite mana exploit in Manifold by EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 70% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will AI find an infinite mana exploit in Manifold by EOY 2027? resolve?
- Will AI find an infinite mana exploit in Manifold by EOY 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Will AI find an infinite mana exploit in Manifold by EOY 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if someone with an infinite mana exploit says most of the work finding it was done by AI