Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 58%
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66
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binary
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Updated 13 minutes ago
Apr 22, 26, 10:08 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:07 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
From https://blog.mozilla.org/en/privacy-security/ai-security-zero-day-vulnerabilities/:
- Encouragingly, we also haven’t seen any bugs that couldn’t have been found by an elite human researcher.
- Some commentators predict that future AI models will unearth entirely new forms of vulnerabilities that defy our current comprehension, but we don’t think so.
- Software like Firefox is designed in a modular way for humans to be able to reason about its correctness.
- It is complex, but not arbitrarily complex.
- By 2029, will this turn out to be false?