Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.1%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 19, 26, 2:36 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:35 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Marcus buy Manifold by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill someone reach 1B mana profit on Manifold before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRules
Launch post says MNX is a completely separate project, but this market resolves YES if there's any hardcoded UI elements that allow the two platforms to be in a unified interface, ORN.
- Will make poll for edge cases.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
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- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will MNX be integrated into Manifold by EOY??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will MNX be integrated into Manifold by EOY? resolve?
- Will MNX be integrated into Manifold by EOY? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will MNX be integrated into Manifold by EOY? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Launch post says MNX is a completely separate project, but this market resolves YES if there's any hardcoded UI elements that allow the two platforms to be in a unified interface, ORN.