Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?
AIOne-OffCrime & Justice9y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 78.3%
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15
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJan 14, 23, 12:54 AM UTCJan 1, 36, 7:59 AM UTC
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Per this blog post by Holden Karnofsky in which he illustrates scenarios in which AI catastrophe could take place.
- This question is one of the "advanced safety/alignment problems that Holden foresees.
- Resolves positively if:
- Holden himself publicly claims that this specific illustrative scenario has already come to pass
- Multiple news organizations report generally that AI systems have made money illegally via security exploits / unauthorized access to bank accounts
- My personal friends that are most well-acquainted with AI agree with me that this question should resolve positively
