Will a reputable report estimate that 25% or more of US adolescents suffer from depression by 2027?
One-OffHealth & MedicineScience3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 54.3%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJun 25, 23, 8:16 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 8:01 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Reputable reports include SAMHSA's National Survey of Drug Use and Health (NSDUH), but I reserve the right to reference estimates from a report of similar stature.
- In particular, I'll reference estimated overall prevalence of a past-year major depressive episode among adolescents aged 12 to 17, as the NSDUH does.
- Such an estimate would have to be publicly reported before this market closes (that is, data on 2026 rates of depression won't be considered unless the report is posted before 2027).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a reputable report estimate that 25% or more of US adolescents suffer from depression by 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a reputable report estimate that 25% or more of US adolescents suffer from depression by 2027? resolve?
- Will a reputable report estimate that 25% or more of US adolescents suffer from depression by 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will a reputable report estimate that 25% or more of US adolescents suffer from depression by 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Reputable reports include SAMHSA's National Survey of Drug Use and Health (NSDUH), but I reserve the right to reference estimates from a report of similar stature.