Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?
One-OffHealth & Medicine6yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.4%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMar 3, 23, 1:11 AM UTCDec 31, 32, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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