Will the next pandemic be primarily caused or significantly spread by factory farming?
One-OffHealth & MedicineSociety & Culture
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 65%
No 65%Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleFeb 19, 24, 12:00 PM UTCDec 31, 99, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves when:
- A new pandemic is declared by an international health organization such as WHO.
- Resolves YES if:
- Credible evidence indicates that the primary cause or a significant contributing factor to the pandemic's spread is related to factory farming practices.
- Examples include diseases such as H1N1, H5N1, H7N9, BSE, etc., where the initial zoonotic transfer or significant amplification of the disease's spread is traced back to factory farming.
- Resolves NO if:
