Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:01 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 82.7%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleSep 30, 23, 1:41 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if there is a disclosure by one of {Meta AI, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic} that it suffered a cyberattack (which took place after market creation) and believes that the weights of at least one of its proprietary models were stolen.
- Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves YES if an AI exfiltrates its own weights, as this counts as a cyberattack.
