Will "A global workspace in language models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will "A global workspace in language models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets prices No at 69.5% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will "A global workspace in language models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? resolve?

Will "A global workspace in language models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2028.

How is Will "A global workspace in language models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-6.3pt85.7%
• Anthropic+5.7pt14.3%
• Alibaba0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.6M

24h Vol

$131K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+7.1pt56.5%
• Gemini-7.4pt30.8%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt28%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.4pt20%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.2pt19%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt88.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt54.5%
• Google-4.0pt37.4%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+5.5pt83%
• December 15,+7.0pt81%
• November 30,-1.0pt64%

+9 more outcomes

• OpenRouter AI token usage in October
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• What will Bernie say during his rally in Michigan?
• DeepSeek market share this week
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?