Will fully AI generated osu! beatmaps made by melokai.com will be used by mappers to create a starting base before 2028?
AIOne-Off1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 68.3%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 6, 26, 8:08 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, before January 1, 2028, at 11:59 PM UTC, there is clear and verifiable public evidence that an osu! mapper has used a beatmap draft generated by melokai.com as a starting base, timing setup, or draft to create a beatmap that is subsequently uploaded to the official osu! website (osu.ppy.sh).
- Verifiable evidence includes any of the following:
- Direct acknowledgement: The mapper explicitly states in the beatmap description, creator notes, forum post, or public social media (e.g., X/Twitter, Reddit) that they used Melokai to generate the starting base, timing, or layout.
- Visual/Media proof: A public video or stream (e.g., YouTube, Twitch) shows the mapper importing a Melokai-generated .osu or .osz file into the editor as their project's starting point.
- Developer/Community confirmation: Public confirmation from the Melokai developers or community administrators showing a mapper using the tool to start a map, verified by the mapper.
