Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 90.8%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMar 25, 23, 11:26 PM UTCMar 25, 50, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Trump suspension of Tariffs on ground beef be fully implemented and last the announce 90 day time period
Manifold MarketsWhen will the human population drop below 1 billion
Manifold MarketsWill the human population exceed 9 billion by the year 2035?
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.1pt97%
- Yes-1.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $755.4K
- 24h Vol
- $34.5K
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $22.8K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt64%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+62.0pt96%
- before November+31.0pt84%
- before 2027+8.0pt84%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No93.1%
- Yes6.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $3.8K
- Measles cases in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will 50% of the human population die in a 12 month time period before 2050??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will 50% of the human population die in a 12 month time period before 2050? resolve?
- Will 50% of the human population die in a 12 month time period before 2050? is scheduled to resolve on March 25, 2050.