Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDesi Lydic 29.5%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
46
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleOct 10, 23, 1:03 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 8:01 PM UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the next permanent host of The Daily Show? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWill we have a scenario like "2030: Takeover" as defined in AI 2027 before the end of Q1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRules
An expected permanent host will be announced in 2024.
- Resolves when the host name is announced.
- In the event it is a duo or trio hosting gig (lame) then the answer must list all names to be the winner.
- Roy Wood Jr. is out.
- Does that mean that other regulars are also being passed over? Will the show even exist in this fractured cable market? They might need a big name established name to make up for the disaster that was picking unknown Trevor Noah.
- Add your own and get a Mana bonus if someone bets on your answer.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Total Vol
- $280.7K
- 24h Vol
- $148.9K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $406.5K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response)?
- Manifold Markets prices Desi Lydic at 30% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response) resolve?
- Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response) is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: An expected permanent host will be announced in 2024.