Who will be appointed as a Supreme Court Justice in the USA at some point of their life?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Andrew Oldham 23.6%Leader of 10 outcomes
Andrew Oldham 23.6%Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJan 13, 25, 4:33 AM UTCJan 1, 51, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Background Supreme Court Justices are nominated by the President and must be confirmed by the Senate with a simple majority vote.
- Appointments are lifetime positions, and new appointments only occur when there is a vacancy due to retirement, death, or resignation of a sitting Justice.
- Currently, there are no vacancies on the Supreme Court.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES for any answer if that person is successfully confirmed as a Supreme Court Justice at any point in their life.
- Multiple answers may be added by anyone.
- The market will resolve NO when they die without such appointment.
