Current community forecast
$226 (after Jan 17) 100%Leader of 85 outcomes
$226 (after Jan 17) 100%Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+3.8 pts
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleJan 9, 25, 4:33 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 10:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $500 before $50?
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Manifold MarketsWill any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
KalshiRules
Last close: 2026-Oct-16 $343.46 (week's range $337.60-$348.15)
- (will try to update meaningful moves after Nasdaq close, but don't count on it)
- Each answer resolves after the first full week (regular trading hours Monday 9:30am to Friday 4pm ET) after its creation date (included in answer), during which the stock price stays the whole week above that answer (YES) or below it (NO).
- In other words, the first time one of these is the case after Friday's close:
- Resolves YES if AAPL weekly low > [answer]
- Resolves NO if AAPL weekly high < [answer]