Current community forecast
No 74.6%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJan 31, 25, 2:19 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these prices will NVIDIA stock close above before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich price will Apple stock (AAPL) hold above before staying below it, for a full week?
Manifold MarketsNVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by which date?
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PolymarketRules
Will Nvidia's stock price surpass Apple's stock price by January 1, 2027? Resolution based on closing prices from https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/nvda and https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/aapl.
- Market resolves YES if NVDA's stock price exceeds AAPL's stock price on any trading day before January 1, 2027, NO otherwise.
- [link preview]
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $844.6K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+45.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.3pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+5.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+7.5pt55.9%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.3%
- 90-114+1.9pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
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- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for NVDA stock price exceeds AAPL stock price before January 1, 2027?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 75% as of September 7, 2026.
- When does NVDA stock price exceeds AAPL stock price before January 1, 2027 resolve?
- NVDA stock price exceeds AAPL stock price before January 1, 2027 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is NVDA stock price exceeds AAPL stock price before January 1, 2027 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will Nvidia's stock price surpass Apple's stock price by January 1, 2027? Resolution based on closing prices from https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/nvda and https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/aapl.