Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast$240 (USD) 91%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJul 11, 26, 3:21 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Basic Resolution Rules:
- This market resolves based on the highest closing price of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) common stock on any regular trading day between today and December 31, 2026.
- Each option is independent and will resolve to YES if NVDA closes at or above that specific dollar amount on any single trading day during the market window, and NO otherwise.
- More Resolution Rules:
- The closing prices will be determined by the historical daily closing prices of NVIDIA stock as reported by Yahoo Finance (here it is: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/).
- Just to add emphasis: this is based on daily closing price only.
