Current implied probability
No 98%
No 98%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$751.5
Low liquidityTraders
2
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which of these prices will NVIDIA stock close above before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsIn the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?
Manifold MarketsNvidia stock at $100 or below by 2028
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PolymarketRules
If, on any regular U.S. equity market trading day between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, the closing price of NVIDIA Corporation common stock (NASDAQ: NVDA) is strictly less than US$ 100.00, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The Primary Designated Source is Yahoo Finance historical data for ticker NVDA, using the official daily closing price (not adjusted close).
- If a stock split, reverse split, or similar corporate action occurs during the period, the $100.00 threshold is adjusted proportionally on a post-split-equivalent basis using the official split ratio.
- After-hours, pre-market, and intraday prices below $100.00 do not count; only the official regular-session closing price.
- If Yahoo Finance is unavailable or found to be inaccurate, equivalent data from Nasdaq.com, Bloomberg, or Refinitiv may be used.
