Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastQ4 2026 47.9%+30.4ptLeader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+30.4 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 20, 26, 9:12 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
When will Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) announce thier first model? Resolves to the date of the official announcement on https://ssi.inc/updates.
- Only one answer resolves YES.
- Quarters are defined as follows:
- Q1: January 1 – March 31
- Q2: April 1 – June 30
- Q3: July 1 – September 30
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will SSI announce a model??
- Manifold Markets prices Q4 2026 at 48% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does When will SSI announce a model? resolve?
- When will SSI announce a model? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is When will SSI announce a model? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: When will Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) announce thier first model? Resolves to the date of the official announcement on https://ssi.inc/updates.